Sunday, August 4, 2013

All In for 2013 - Feeling Lucky?

Cross posted over at Cool, Dense Air.

Over the last 10 games, the Kansas City Royals have gone 9-1, which would be awesome, except the two teams in front of them in the American League Central, Detroit and Cleveland, have also gone 9-1.

If you are unfamiliar with the term Pythagorean Record, then I suggest you click here before admiring my awesome chart-making skills below.

This beauty represents the games over or under the expected number of wins for each of the three teams vying for supremacy in the AL Central.

Now, after you are done marveling at the fact Detroit has gone on a 9-1 tear and is STILL five games BELOW their expected number of wins, let's focus on the Indians from Ohio, since they are also in possession of the coveted Second Wild Card Spot. (Am I capitalizing that correctly?)

The Indians have played 3 more games than the Royals and are currently one game over their heads according to the math gods that actually run baseball.

At the same time, the Royals are 4.5 games behind Cleveland in the standings.

So, (big finish), if the Indians fall back to earth that one game, and KC can keep on the gas to make up the other three, then we're talking about a fighting chance for the possibility of playing in a one-game playoff to get into a one-game playoff to play some actual post-season baseball.

If you've been a Royals fan for the last 20 years or so, you gotta like those odds.

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